《林业经济预测模型库系统的设计与多模型组合研究 》 |
更新时间:2019-12-09 11:58:48 点击次数:1168
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【关键词】 |
模型库系统; 模型组合; 林业经济; 预测; |
【英文关键词】 |
model base system; model combination; forestry economy; forecasting; |
【摘要】 |
在综合前人林业经济预测模型和方法成果的基础上,研究开发了林业经济预测模型库系统。该系统有效地实现了模型的表示、生成及预测等功能,特别是多模型的灵活选择与组合,解决了多年来运用孤立模型进行预测的问题,提高了预测的效率与效果。此外,该系统的可视化界面方便了用户的使用。最后结合林业经济预测实例说明了多模型组合的应用及使用林业经济预测模型库系统进行预测的有效性。 |
【英文摘要】 |
Based on the research of forecasting models and methods of forestry economy,the forecasting model base system of forestry economy is designed,which has the function of expressing,building,checking,combining and forecasting models.And especially the forecasting model base system solves the problem of using single forecasting model by flexible model choosing and combining,and it greatly improved the efficiency and effectiveness for the system users.Finally a example of timber demand forecast is provided to de... |
【基金】 |
国家林业局林业科学技术研究基金资助项目(96-41) | |
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